technology

Will an AI system pass a comprehensive Turing test by 2026?

Expires in about 1 year
$450,000 volume
1,240 traders

Market Description

This market resolves to YES if a peer-reviewed academic paper is published demonstrating that an AI system has passed a comprehensive Turing test with at least 70% of human judges unable to distinguish it from a human.

Resolution Details

This market will be resolved by Manual resolution on 12/31/2026. The outcome will be determined based on Publication in a top-tier peer-reviewed AI journal (Nature Machine Intelligence, JAIR, etc.).

Price History

Current Odds

YES
32%
NO
68%

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